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About me

My Background

My career consists of twelve years of professional experience and ten years of academic background in the fields of security and defence policy as well as geopolitics.

Currently, I am the Director of the Austrian Institute for European and Security Policy (AIES) in Vienna, Austria. I conduct Strategic Foresight and Trends Analysis for the Austrian Ministry of Defence and I am an instructor at the Real World Risk Institute (RWRI) led by best-selling author Nassim Taleb.


My work includes research, consulting, lectures, and publications on global and regional trends, future scenarios and geopolitical topics for clients from the public and private sector. I do organize closed-door and public workshops, expert meetings and discussions.


I am currently writing a book on the Dragonbear's (China and Russia) impact on global affairs based on systems thinking, strategic foresight, geopolitics, and geoeconomics. I am also finishing PhD dissertation on the Role of External Actors in Eastern Europe (the case of Ukraine, Belarus and Azerbaijan) at the University of Vienna.


I have developed a unique realpolitik approach based on systems thinking and geopolitics to follow significant global and regional trends and shifts of change in the Global System and I coined the term Dragonbear in international affairs.